Economic Indicator Dashboard

Track the Fed funds rate, yield curve inversion, inflation, unemployment, and prime rate—then see what today’s economy means for your wallet.

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Fed Funds Rate

Watch
5.50%

Last move Jul 2023: +0.25%

Headline Inflation

Watch
3.2%

Core inflation: 3.4%

Unemployment Rate

Tailwind
4.1%

Job openings per seeker: 1.4×

Prime Rate

Neutral
8.50%

HELOC benchmark: 9.50%

Yield Curve

Watch

Normal slope

S&P 500

Neutral
$4,950

YTD change: 12.4%

Federal Funds Rate Tracker

Benchmark for savings rates, credit cards, auto loans, and HELOCs. Higher rates help savers but raise borrowing costs.

Next FOMC Meetings

  • March 18-19, 2025Mar 19
  • April 29-30, 2025Apr 30
  • June 17-18, 2025Jun 18
  • July 29-30, 2025Jul 30
Your savings earn about $5 more per month after the last hike.
Adjustable-rate mortgage payment impact: +$58 per month for every 0.25% move.

Yield Curve Visualizer

Plot of treasury yields from 1 month to 30 years. An inverted curve (short rates > long rates) often signals recessions within ~18 months.

Today's curve

1M
3M
6M
1Y
2Y
3Y
5Y
7Y
10Y
20Y
30Y
10Y - 2Y: (Flat)
10Y - 3M: (Flat)

Recession Probability (next 12 months)

Elevated
Low60%High

Yield curve inversions preceded 8 of the last 8 recessions. Current 10y-2y spread: .

Inflation Dashboard

Track headline vs. core inflation and category-level pressure. Use this to time raises, budget adjustments, and inflation-protected investments.

Category hot spots

On a $85,000 salary, inflation at 3.2% erodes $2,720 of purchasing power this year.

Labor Market Pulse

Low unemployment and high quit rates signal strong bargaining power. Rising unemployment means protect cash and prioritize stability.

Job openings per job seeker1.4×

Above 1.0 means more openings than seekers—a strong market where workers can negotiate.

Quit rate2.2%

Higher quit rates signal worker confidence in finding better roles quickly.

Strong job market? Press for raises and stretch assignments. Weak job market? Focus on emergency savings and skill-building.

Personal Impact Planner

Tell us your balances—we translate the macro headlines into your monthly budget impact.

  • Lock in high-yield savings or CDs before rates peak.
  • Consider extending bond duration while the curve is normal.
  • Confident job market—good time to negotiate salary or switch roles.

Savings traction

High-yield savings at 5.50% earns roughly $115 per month.

Last rate move added about $5 per month to your interest income.

Adjustable loans

Expect $58 change in payment for every 0.25% move if your HELOC tracks prime (8.50%).

Credit cards at ~20.50% APR cost $1,230 per year at your balance.

Action checklist

  • Set rate alerts for savings and refinance triggers.
  • Rebalance portfolio if equities outran bonds by >5%.
  • Automate extra payments while income is strong.

How to use this dashboard

Start at the top to see where rates, inflation, and the job market stand right now. Scroll into each section to understand the trend over time and how it impacts your savings, debts, and investments. Finish with the personal impact planner to translate macro economics into your monthly cash flow.

Fast takeaways this week

  • Yield curve is normalizing—recession risk cooling
  • Headline inflation: 3.2%, core: 3.4%
  • Unemployment: 4.1% with 1.4 job openings per seeker
  • Prime rate at 8.50% keeps HELOCs and credit cards expensive—prioritize payoff

Playbook by indicator

  • Fed tightening: lock in high-yield savings, refinance variable debts later
  • Yield curve inversion: build cash buffers, shift toward quality bonds, avoid timing the market
  • Hot inflation: negotiate raises above inflation + 2%, favor inflation-protected assets
  • Tight labor market: push for promotions, diversify income, invest in skills while demand is strong

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions about the Economic Indicator Dashboard

The federal funds rate is the interest rate banks charge each other for overnight loans. It's set by the Federal Reserve and ripples through everything—savings yields, credit card APRs, mortgages, auto loans, and business financing. Even a 0.25% change can add or remove tens of dollars per month from your budget.

⚠️ Important Disclaimer

This Economic Indicator Dashboard provides estimates for educational and informational purposes only. Actual results may vary significantly based on individual circumstances, market conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors beyond the scope of this calculator.

The calculations and projections provided are based on assumptions and historical data that may not reflect future performance.Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This tool is not financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or investment advice. For personalized guidance tailored to your specific situation, please consult with qualified professionals including:

  • Certified Financial Planner (CFP)
  • Certified Public Accountant (CPA) for tax matters
  • Licensed attorney for legal matters
  • Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) for investment decisions

Data Accuracy: All data sources, statistics, and rates were verified as accurate as of October 2025. Tax rates, market conditions, and other financial data change over time. Always verify current rates and consult official sources.

No Warranties: While we strive for accuracy, we make no warranties or guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information provided. Use this tool at your own risk.