Investment Analysis

Payback Period

The time it takes for an investment to generate enough cash flow to recover its initial cost.

Also known as: payback, break even period

What You Need to Know

The payback period answers one simple question: "How long until I get my money back?"

The Formula: Payback Period = Initial Investment / Annual Cash Flow

Example 1: Solar Panels

  • Cost: $20,000
  • Annual savings: $2,000/year
  • Payback period: $20,000 / $2,000 = 10 years

Example 2: Energy-Efficient Appliances

  • Cost: $1,200 (refrigerator upgrade)
  • Annual savings: $100/year (lower electricity)
  • Payback period: 12 years

What It Tells You:

  • Short payback (1-3 years): Great investment, quick return
  • Medium payback (3-7 years): Solid if you plan to stay
  • Long payback (10+ years): Risky—technology changes, you might move

Limitations: Payback period ignores:

  • Time value of money (inflation erodes future savings)
  • Cash flows after payback (a 5-year payback with 20 years of savings is better than stated)
  • Risk and opportunity cost

Best Use: Quick screening tool for home improvements, equipment purchases, and energy efficiency projects. If it doesn't pay back before the item breaks or you move, reconsider.

Sources & References

This information is sourced from authoritative government and academic institutions:

  • sba.gov

    https://www.sba.gov/business-guide/plan-your-business/calculate-your-startup-costs