Roth IRA Strategy Tool

Roth vs Traditional comparison and Roth conversion calculator - optimize your IRA strategy for maximum lifetime value

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🏆 Roth IRA Wins

Advantage: $268,194

Roth IRA is better. You're in a lower tax bracket now (22%) than expected in retirement (24%). Pay taxes at the lower rate now.

Personal Information

IRA Details

2025 limit: $7,000 ($8,000 if 50+)

1037
1037
015

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricTraditionalRothDifference
Total Contributed$260,000$260,000Same
Balance at Retirement$1,117,475$1,117,475Same
Taxes Paid (Lifetime)$268,194$46,200$221,994
NET AFTER-TAX VALUE$849,281$1,117,475$268,194

Key Concepts

Tax Now or Tax Later?

The fundamental choice:

  • Traditional: Tax deduction NOW, pay taxes LATER (in retirement)
  • Roth: Pay taxes NOW, tax-free LATER (in retirement)
  • Conversion: Already taxed once, pay taxes again NOW for tax-free LATER

Simple rule:

  • Lower tax bracket NOW → Pay taxes now (Roth)
  • Higher tax bracket NOW → Defer taxes (Traditional)
  • Expect higher taxes LATER → Pay taxes now (Roth/Conversion)
The RMD Problem

Traditional IRA requires withdrawals starting age 73:

  • Forced taxable income whether you need it or not
  • Can push you into higher tax brackets
  • Makes more Social Security taxable (up to 85%)
  • Triggers Medicare surcharges (IRMAA)
  • Reduces control over your retirement income

Roth IRA has NO RMDs:

  • Let it grow as long as you want
  • Withdraw only what you need
  • More control over tax situation
  • Better for estate planning
Optimal Conversion Timing

Best times to convert:

  • Low-income years: Job loss, sabbatical, early retirement gap years
  • Before RMDs start (age 73): Maximize tax-free growth years
  • Market downturns: Convert at lower values, capture recovery in Roth
  • Before Social Security (62-70): Avoid stacking income sources
  • Before Medicare (age 65): Avoid IRMAA surcharges

Worst times to convert:

  • Peak earning years (high tax brackets)
  • After RMDs start (stacks with RMD income)
  • After age 65 if near IRMAA thresholds

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions about the Roth IRA Strategy Tool

It depends on your current vs. future tax bracket. Choose Roth if you expect to be in a higher tax bracket in retirement (typical for younger workers with growing income). Choose Traditional if you're currently in a high tax bracket and expect lower income in retirement. Many people benefit from having both for tax diversification.

📊 Historical Market Data Sources

S&P 500 Historical Returns:

• Average annual return (1926-2024): ~10% nominal, ~7% inflation-adjusted
• Standard deviation: ~20% (indicating significant year-to-year volatility)
→ Source: NYU Stern - Historical Returns on Stocks, Bonds and Bills

Dividend Yields:

• S&P 500 average dividend yield: 1.5-2.0% (as of 2024-2025)
• Historical dividend growth rate: ~5.9% annually (1960-2024)
→ Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices

Bond Returns:

• 10-Year Treasury bonds: ~5% average annual return (1926-2024)
• Corporate bonds (investment grade): ~6% average annual return
→ Source: NYU Stern - Corporate Finance Data

Inflation Rate:

• Long-term average: ~3% annually (1926-2024)
• Recent (2020-2024): 2-8% range with 2022 peak at 8%
→ Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics - Consumer Price Index

Important: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Market returns vary significantly year-to-year. These are long-term historical averages.

⚠️ Important Disclaimer

This Roth IRA Strategy Tool provides estimates for educational and informational purposes only. Actual results may vary significantly based on individual circumstances, market conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors beyond the scope of this calculator.

The calculations and projections provided are based on assumptions and historical data that may not reflect future performance.Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This tool is not financial advice, tax advice, legal advice, or investment advice. For personalized guidance tailored to your specific situation, please consult with qualified professionals including:

  • Certified Financial Planner (CFP)
  • Certified Public Accountant (CPA) for tax matters
  • Licensed attorney for legal matters
  • Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) for investment decisions

Data Accuracy: All data sources, statistics, and rates were verified as accurate as of October 2025. Tax rates, market conditions, and other financial data change over time. Always verify current rates and consult official sources.

No Warranties: While we strive for accuracy, we make no warranties or guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information provided. Use this tool at your own risk.