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Buffett discusses Wells Fargo's Q4 earnings, noting $5.4B charge-offs were exactly as expected. Wells beat revenue estimates at $22.7B vs $21.9B expected and posted 8-cent profit despite share issuance. Buffett criticizes stress tests for underestimating Wells' revenue potential, resulting in forced share issuance that 'cost us real money' as a shareholder.
Buffett explains the 50-for-1 Class B stock split to facilitate Burlington Northern acquisition. Lower denomination shares ensure small shareholders get same deal as large ones through cash option. With 700,000 shareholders and 4x market cap of largest non-S&P company, Berkshire could join S&P 500, which Buffett sees as beneficial for shareholders.
Buffett opposes proposed bank tax as misguided and distracting from real financial reform. Notes banks will repay TARP overwhelmingly, FDIC is bank-funded to clean up failures, and calling bank profits 'obscene' is misplaced when JP Morgan and Wells Fargo earned below 10-year averages. Warns against 'vengeance' tax policy designed for appealing headlines.
Buffett analyzes Scott Brown's Massachusetts upset as convergence of factors: unpopular health bill, frustration with Congress, disappointing economy, and candidate quality. Notes people's economic expectations were too high despite Obama's attempts to temper them. While supporting Obama, Buffett acknowledges people's pain and unrealistic timeline hopes for recovery.
Berkshire down 25,000 employees from 245,000, with carpet business alone losing 6,500 jobs concentrated in Georgia. Buffett emphasizes hiring will return when orders come in, not based on political uncertainty. Business is slowly improving but gradually - 'an economy that's gradually healing... it's going to take time.'
Buffett articulates core investment philosophy: uncertainty is constant and should be your friend when it drives down prices. Addresses criticism that nothing changed from March 2009's S&P 666 bottom despite 70% rally. Argues prices were wrong then, not now. Uses farm analogy: one bad crop year doesn't justify selling at half price when 90 of next 100 years will be good. Emphasizes pricing over timing.
Buffett, Kraft's largest shareholder at 9.9%, strongly criticizes the Cadbury acquisition. Argues actual multiple is 16-17x not stated 13x when accounting for $1.3B restructuring costs, $390M deal expenses, and undervalued Kraft stock used as currency. Blasts 78-page proxy that never disclosed directors' view that Kraft stock was 'significantly undervalued.' Questions corporate governance and deal momentum culture.
Buffett explains housing market's self-cleansing process: 4.5M homes selling annually out of 80M total (25M mortgage-free). New buyers making reasonable down payments, buying cheaper, covering with income better. 'Liars loans' largely disappeared. Every day, homes moving to 'stronger hands' who can handle payments. System healing gradually but not overnight.
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