Loading video player...
Opening Q&A about why Vanguard's target retirement and life strategy funds only offer investor class shares instead of lower-cost admiral shares. Mike from Vanguard explains institutional shares exist for large companies. Bogleheads argue these aren't just starter funds - people with $100K to $1M use them for simplification in retirement, yet can't access lower-cost shares. Jack acknowledges the frustration.
Bogle reflects on the incredibly generous and appreciative Bogleheads community. He shares a touching story of counseling a 60-year-old man who needed a heart transplant - talked to him about the challenges and how great it can work out. The man got his heart and it's working fine. Bogle's philosophy: 'If you can do something nice for another person, for God's sake do it. And do it now, for he shall not pass this way again.'
Asked about the next revolution after indexing, Bogle says it's unlikely to happen twice. The index revolution came from Wall Street's unwillingness to favor investors - bad economics but they got away with it because markets kept rising. Investors who got 5% thought they were geniuses with 4x returns, not realizing index investors got 8x. Those high returns won't return without a major market decline. The revolution was about putting stockholders at the top of the food chain instead of the bottom - that won't happen twice.
Asked about his heroes, Bogle identifies Warren Buffett as a business hero today. Among competitors, Dodge & Cox stands out because they're in the investment business, not the marketing business - a crucial distinction. From history, Alexander Hamilton has always been his favorite, long before the recent popularity boom.
Taylor Larimore points out a striking correlation: Vanguard and Fidelity were growing neck and neck, Vanguard slightly ahead. Then in 2007, Vanguard shot up like a rocket while Fidelity stayed flat. 2007 was when the Bogleheads forum was founded. Vanguard people acknowledge that Bogleheads drive a lot of business to them, which is one reason they treat the community so well. Bogle praises the democratization of commentary and objective advice.
Strong defense of cap-weighted indexing. It gives you the entire market return, doesn't care about sectors/managers/styles, and is self-executing. When FANG stocks fall apart, the index automatically adjusts. Equal weighted requires constant rebalancing and creates temptation to change. Rob Arnott's fundamental indexed RAFI 1000 (based on earnings, dividends, book value, employees) has had very erratic record with high volatility relative to S&P 500, now trailing. Arnott is calling for a crash - 'the guy's a little bit of a nut.'
Bogle's famous international investing skepticism. In his 1994 book, he said you don't need non-US stocks, and if you have them, stop at 20% no matter the market weight. Over the next 25 years, non-US returned 300% while US returned 800% - 'brilliant prognostication.' He acknowledges US outperformance could mean reversion to mean, but remains skeptical. The three largest non-US markets: UK (Brexit, unproductive), Japan (structured, aging population, tsunamis), France ('they don't go to work there, 35 hour week'). Extra risks of international not worth it.
Amusing confession: A Northwestern Mutual salesman in Omaha tells prospects 'good news, Jack Bogle is a Northwestern Mutual customer.' It's true - as a young married man, Bogle bought a $10,000 policy (later added $8,000) because Northwestern was clearly the best mutual company for rate-to-premium relationship. He still keeps the $18,000 policy. 'Confession is good for the soul. I hope that doesn't...' Asked if he's getting royalties for them using his name: 'No, but you know what's going to happen.'
Closing reflections on lifelong accomplishments and impact. Asked if he realizes how many people he's impacted for the better and his effect on the investment industry, Bogle reflects on the privilege of having done meaningful work. Mentions his family's 65-year tradition of spending summers at Lake Placid - 'I may just go up there and stay there.' Closes with heartfelt thanks: 'It's a thrill to be with all of you. God bless you, and God willing, I'll see you all next year.'
9 topics covered
5 speakers
6 concepts discussed
Want to explore more videos? Browse our searchable library.